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Arlington County, VA

RANK #814 / 996  ·  POP 235,845  ·  VA

PROJECTED GROWTH: -0.7%

Arlington County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Arlington County?

Arlington County, Virginia, stands out for its unique governmental structure, operating as a single, unified jurisdiction without incorporated cities or towns within its borders. Located directly across the Potomac River from Washington, D.C., it offers a commute to the capital that can be as short as 10 to 20 minutes via its extensive Metrorail system, which includes 11 stations. The community blends urban density with accessible green spaces, boasting over 1,100 acres of parks and 50 miles of paved trails, many with views of the D.C. skyline. This focus on walkability and public transit contributes to a community feel that prioritizes convenience and outdoor activity.

Life in Arlington County is often characterized by its high quality and diverse population, attracting families, young professionals, and retirees. The public school system is highly rated, and the county is recognized for its safety. The economy, historically influenced by the federal government, is diversifying with growth in sectors like cybersecurity, defense contracting, and artificial intelligence. Commercial and residential development continues, with an emphasis on sustainable urban planning and creating mixed-use neighborhoods around transit corridors.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.8x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+1.4%

Below national median

Home Prices
+0.0%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.2

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
27x

Speculative pricing

Housing is fairly valued at 4.8x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Arlington County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
235,845
+0.03% YoY
Median Household Income
$137,387
Median Home Value
$833,300
+0.02% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,227
Average Annual Pay
$122,856
+4.1% YoY
Employment
179,244
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1649
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.02%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$695,000
Days on Market
36
Active market
Months of Supply
2.7
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.1%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
31.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
14.6%
Building Permits (2024)
621
Single-Family Permits
190

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$1,120M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
One Rosslyn Redevelopment
Penzance
$600M Planned
Rosslyn Office Building Redevelopment (1401 Wilson Blvd & 1400 Key Blvd)
Monday Properties
$250M Proposed
Arlington-Amazon Solar Farm (Pittsylvania County, VA)
Dominion Energy / Amazon / Arlington County
$120M Completed
Ballston One
Penzance
$100M Planned
Highlands Row Townhouses (Crystal City)
EYA LLC
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.4% 24 percentile
Population Growth +0.0% 31 percentile
Income Growth +7.2% 20 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 26 percentile
Home Price Change +0.0% 31 percentile
Rent Growth -1.4% 4 percentile
Price/Rent 27x 1 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Arlington County, VA a good place to move to?

Arlington County has a Boom Town Index score of 18/100, ranking #814 among 996 U.S. counties. With a median household income of $137,387, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Arlington County affordable?

The median home value in Arlington County is $833,300 with median rent at $2,227/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.1649, which is less affordable than the national average.

Is Arlington County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +0.0% year-over-year. Job growth: 0.0%. Home values changed +0.0% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Arlington County?

Yes — 4.02% of Arlington County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

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