20 / 100

Alachua County, FL

Gainesville

RANK #790 / 996 NAT  ·  #21 / 41 FL  ·  POP 279,729

1YR FORECAST: -0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +16%

Our model projects Alachua County's housing market at -0.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Alachua County?

Alachua County, Florida, is distinguished by Paynes Prairie Preserve State Park, a vast 21,000-acre savanna where wild horses and bison roam, a unique sight in Florida. Located in North Central Florida, the county seat, Gainesville, is approximately 70 miles southwest of Jacksonville. The community offers a blend of college-town energy, particularly in Gainesville, and a quieter, small-town atmosphere in places like Alachua and Micanopy. Commutes within the county are generally manageable, with options for bus service connecting towns to Gainesville. The county boasts numerous natural springs, parks, and trails, including San Felasco Hammock Preserve State Park and Devil's Millhopper Geological State Park, providing extensive opportunities for hiking, biking, and water activities.

Life in Alachua County appeals to a mix of residents, including young professionals, families, and retirees, many of whom own their homes. The public school system is highly rated, with some schools offering specialized magnet programs. The economy is driven by its educational and healthcare institutions, notably the University of Florida, alongside growing sectors like life sciences and biotechnology. Recent economic developments include investments in infrastructure and workforce training, particularly in eastern Alachua County, with a focus on attracting new businesses and creating jobs in energy and manufacturing.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.2x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.1%

Below national median

Home Prices
-2.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.2x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    University of Florida Education
    25,000+
  2. 2
    UF Health (Shands Teaching Hospital) Healthcare
    10,000+
  3. 3
    Alachua County School District Education
    2,500+
  4. 4
    US Department of Veterans Affairs (Malcom Randall VA Medical Center) Healthcare
  5. 5
    City of Gainesville Government
    1,000+
  6. 6
    Publix Super Markets Retail
  7. 7
    North Florida Regional Medical Center Healthcare
  8. 8
    Walmart Retail
    500+
  9. 9
    Alachua County Board of County Commissioners Government
  10. 10
    Santa Fe College Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Alachua County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
279,729
+1.29% YoY
Median Household Income
$57,566
Median Home Value
$245,600
-2.58% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,191
Average Annual Pay
$63,829
+3.9% YoY
Employment
139,023
+0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2344
Near national average
Migration Inflow
8.0%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
46.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$303,000
Days on Market
85
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.9
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
8.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.6%
Building Permits (2024)
1,750
Single-Family Permits
822

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
77.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
40.0
Good
Good Air Days
80%
870 of 1,091 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
39
2022
41
2023
40
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$374M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Ironwood Industrial Park
Undisclosed Developer
$140M Proposed
High Springs Renewable Energy Center
Duke Energy Florida
$75M Completed
Gilchrist County Solar
FRP Gilchrist County Solar, LLC
$74M Operating
G&C Foods Distribution Facility
G&C Foods
$50M Under Construction
Lane Enterprises Manufacturing Plant
Lane Enterprises
$35M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.1% 38 percentile
Population Growth +1.3% 78 percentile
Income Growth +8.0% 36 percentile
Vacancy Rate 4.0% 1 percentile
Home Price Change -2.6% 11 percentile
Rent Growth +3.2% 55 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 61 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Alachua County, FL a good place to move to?

At 20/100, Alachua County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $57,566 combined with job growth of +0.3% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Alachua County affordable?

Alachua County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $245,600 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.23 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,191/month on average.

Is Alachua County growing or shrinking?

Alachua County's population is growing — up +1.3% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.3%). Home values shifted -2.6% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Alachua County?

In significant numbers — 8.0% of Alachua County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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