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Worcester County, MD

District 3

RANK #869 / 996 NAT  ·  #13 / 18 MD  ·  POP 52,827

1YR FORECAST: -1.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +13%

Our model projects Worcester County's housing market at -1.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Worcester County?

Worcester County, Maryland, stands out as the state's only county bordering the Atlantic Ocean, offering a blend of coastal resort and rural charm. Ocean City, a notable town, draws visitors with its boardwalk and beaches, while Berlin, recognized as a "coolest small town," features historic architecture and an arts scene. The county is about 120 miles from Baltimore. Commute options within the county include Shore Transit, which provides fixed, deviated fixed, and on-demand services. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with opportunities for kayaking on the Pocomoke River, hiking in cypress swamps, and exploring Assateague Island National Seashore, home to wild ponies. The Worcester County Recreation and Parks Department maintains thirteen parks across the county.

Life in Worcester County offers a mix of lifestyles, from the active resort environment of Ocean City to the quieter, historic towns like Snow Hill and Berlin. The public school system, serving approximately 7,000 students across 14 schools, is highly rated. The economy is influenced by agriculture, particularly the poultry industry, and tourism. Recent economic developments include commercial ventures and residential construction. The county is also seeing investment in energy sectors. Worcester County's economic landscape is further supported by Maryland Enterprise Zones in Berlin, Snow Hill, and Pocomoke, which offer tax incentives for businesses.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.2x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+5.6%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-3.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.3

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 5.2x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Atlantic General Hospital Healthcare
  2. 2
    The Harrison Group Hospitality
  3. 3
    Bel-Art Products Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Worcester County Public Schools Education
  5. 5
    Worcester County Government Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Worcester County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
52,827
+0.97% YoY
Median Household Income
$76,689
Median Home Value
$310,300
-3.22% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,144
Average Annual Pay
$45,838
+3.5% YoY
Employment
26,303
+4.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2471
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.45%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
32.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2024)
354
Single-Family Permits
338

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
8.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
90.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,230M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
US Wind Offshore Wind Project
US Wind
$2,000M Planned
Worcester Resiliency Upgrade Project (LNG Storage Facility)
Eastern Shore Natural Gas Company (Chesapeake Utilities Corporation)
$80M Under Construction
TurningPoint Solar Farm (Berlin)
TurningPoint Solar
$50M Planned
Ocean City Convention Center Phase III Expansion
Worcester County
$50M Planned
Northern Worcester Athletic Complex Expansion
Worcester County
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +5.6% 88 percentile
Population Growth +1.0% 71 percentile
Income Growth +7.6% 29 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 62 percentile
Home Price Change -3.2% 8 percentile
Rent Growth +4.4% 72 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 68 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Worcester County, MD a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Worcester County scores just 12/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #869 of 996 counties. Job growth at +4.4% and median household income of $76,689 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Worcester County affordable?

Worcester County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $310,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,144/month on average.

Is Worcester County growing or shrinking?

Worcester County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.0% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +4.4% clip. Home values shifted -3.2% in the past year.

Are people moving to Worcester County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.45% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Worcester County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Anne Arundel County, MD 12 Prince George's County, MD 12 Howard County, MD 9 Cecil County, MD 16 Harford County, MD 16 Charles County, MD 8 Effingham County, GA 12 Oldham County, KY 12