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Suffolk County, NY

RANK #90 / 1001 NAT  ·  #17 / 45 NY  ·  POP 1,530,146

1YR FORECAST: +3.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

Our model projects Suffolk County's housing market to grow +3.1% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Suffolk County?

Suffolk County, located on the eastern two-thirds of Long Island, New York, is known for its diverse landscapes, from the upscale Hamptons to historic towns like Port Jefferson and Huntington. The county is bordered by the Atlantic Ocean and Long Island Sound, offering over 1,000 miles of coastline and numerous beaches. Commuting to New York City is possible via the Long Island Rail Road (LIRR), Suffolk County Transit, and express bus services like the Hampton Jitney. The area provides extensive outdoor recreation, including state parks like Heckscher State Park and Sunken Meadow State Park, offering hiking, fishing, and camping.

Life in Suffolk County offers a suburban feel with access to natural surroundings. The public school system is highly rated, with districts like Half Hollow Hills, Harborfields, and Kings Park High School recognized for strong academic performance. The economy is diverse, with significant contributions from science, agriculture, fishery, and tourism. Major institutions like Brookhaven National Laboratory and Stony Brook University are located within the county. Recent economic developments include investments in infrastructure and downtown revitalization, with a focus on creating varied housing options.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Suffolk County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +3.7% YoY, population +0.3%, wages +2.5%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
15.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+3.7%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.5

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 15.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Northwell Health Healthcare
    50,000+
  2. 2
    Suffolk County School Districts Education
    10,000+
  3. 3
    Catholic Health Healthcare
  4. 4
    Suffolk County Government Government
  5. 5
    Stony Brook Medicine Healthcare
  6. 6
    Long Island Rail Road (LIRR) Logistics
    5,000+
  7. 7
    Long Island University (LIU) Education
    2,500+
  8. 8
    Estée Lauder Companies Inc. Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Henry Schein Healthcare
    1,000+
  10. 10
    Canon U.S.A. Inc. Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Suffolk County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
1,530,146
+0.29% YoY
Median Household Income
$130,686
Median Home Value
$578,400
+3.68% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,255
Average Annual Pay
$81,119
+2.5% YoY
Employment
689,858
+1.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2259
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.06%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
40.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$683,000
Days on Market
27
Active market
Months of Supply
3.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
102.2%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
59.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
20.3%
Building Permits (2025)
1,399
Single-Family Permits
1,094

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.5
Firearm Fatalities
4.0
per 100K · nat avg 13.4
Injury Deaths
71.7
per 100K · nat avg 83.6
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate
10-Year Trend
Down 21% since 2015
homicide rate, 2015 → 2025

Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →

See where Suffolk County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties · counties where safety is improving.

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
41.7
Good
Good Air Days
76%
831 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
32
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
42
2022
42
2023
41
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$3,160M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Long Island Wind Offshore Wind Farm
Ørsted
$1,485M Proposed
Sunrise Wind Offshore Wind Farm
Ørsted
$700M Under Construction
Suffolk County Sewer Infrastructure (Carlls River-Wyandanch, Wheatley Heights, Deer Park, Forge River, Southwest Sewer District No. 3, Smithtown)
Suffolk County
$541M Planned
Suffolk County Road, Bridge, and Transit Improvements (including NYS Route 110 Bus Rapid Transit)
Suffolk County
$247M Planned
Holtsville Energy Storage Facility
None
$110M Proposed
Boralex Yaphank Battery Energy Storage System
Boralex Inc. & Savion, LLC
$77M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.3% 34 percentile
Income Growth +1.8% 28 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.6% 86 percentile
Home Price Change +3.7% 72 percentile
Rent Growth +7.2% 92 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 57 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Suffolk County, NY a good place to move to?

Suffolk County ranks #90 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 91/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.5% and a median household income of $130,686 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Suffolk County affordable?

Suffolk County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $578,400 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.23 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $2,255/month on average.

Is Suffolk County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Suffolk County are hiring — job growth of +1.5% — but the population is close to flat (+0.3% YoY). Home values moved +3.7% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Suffolk County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.06% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Suffolk County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Other NY Counties

Herkimer County, NY 92 Ontario County, NY 92 Rockland County, NY 93 Onondaga County, NY 89 Wayne County, NY 94 Bronx County, NY 88