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Somerset County, NJ

RANK #853 / 1001 NAT  ·  #21 / 21 NJ  ·  POP 349,846

1YR FORECAST: +0.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +22%

Our model projects Somerset County's housing market at +0.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Somerset County?

Somerville, the county seat of Somerset County, New Jersey, offers a walkable downtown with shops and restaurants. Located in north-central New Jersey, the county balances suburban and rural environments. It is approximately an hour's drive from New York City and Philadelphia, with train and bus services available for commuters. The county is characterized by rolling hills and preserved open spaces, making it suitable for outdoor activities like hiking and biking.

Somerset County offers a quality of life that attracts families, with highly rated public schools and a strong sense of community. The local economy is driven by sectors such as life sciences, advanced manufacturing, and technology, with a growing startup presence. The county also sees investment in areas like transportation and warehousing. Many residents own their homes, and the county has a diverse population.

MARKET PROFILE

Educated Suburban Growth

Somerset County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.6% runs below the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.6%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.4

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Life Sciences Industry (various companies) Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Advanced Manufacturing Industry (various companies) Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Costco Wholesale Retail
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    Target Retail
  6. 6
    MetLife Finance
    1,000+
  7. 7
    Memorial Sloan-Kettering Healthcare
  8. 8
    Ortho-Clinical Diagnostics Inc. Healthcare
  9. 9
    Somerset County Public School Districts Education
  10. 10
    Catalent Pharma Solutions Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Somerset County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
349,846
+1.05% YoY
Median Household Income
$140,374
Median Home Value
$552,100
+1.65% 12mo
Median Rent
$2,033
Average Annual Pay
$113,007
+6.2% YoY
Employment
192,377
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2543
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.27%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
57.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$637,500
Days on Market
20
Active market
Months of Supply
2.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
103.7%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
69.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
19.4%
Building Permits (2025)
763
Single-Family Permits
267

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
3.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
43.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,900M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amwell Energy Center (Proposed Natural Gas Plant)
Genesis Power LLC
$1,000M Proposed
Somerset Technology Park Data Center Campus
Russo Development
$500M Under Construction
CyrusOne NYM1 Somerset Data Center
CyrusOne
$200M Operating
Williams Transco Compressor Station 206 Expansion
Williams Transco
$100M Planned
Somerset County Community Solar Portfolio (multiple projects)
NJR Clean Energy Ventures Corporation, Dimension Energy LLC, others
$50M Operating
Route 206 Widening in Hillsborough
State of New Jersey
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.1% 68 percentile
Income Growth +3.2% 62 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.4% 96 percentile
Home Price Change +1.6% 50 percentile
Rent Growth +3.9% 67 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 27 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Somerset County, NJ a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Somerset County scores just 14/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #853 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.0% and median household income of $140,374 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Somerset County affordable?

Housing in Somerset County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $552,100 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.25, with rents averaging $2,033/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Somerset County growing or shrinking?

Somerset County's population is growing — up +1.1% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +1.0%). Home values shifted +1.6% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Somerset County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.27% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Somerset County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Union County, NJ 17 Burlington County, NJ 18 Hunterdon County, NJ 19 Middlesex County, NJ 21 Morris County, NJ 21 Essex County, NJ 24 Lane County, OR 14 Placer County, CA 14