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Warren County, NJ

Phillipsburg

RANK #642 / 996 NAT  ·  #15 / 21 NJ  ·  POP 109,739

1YR FORECAST: +1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +20%

Warren County's housing market is projected to grow +1.7% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Warren County?

Warren County, New Jersey, distinguishes itself with its scenic Delaware Water Gap, offering extensive outdoor recreation opportunities. The county, located in northwest New Jersey, is about 60 miles from Midtown Manhattan and 40 miles from Allentown, Pennsylvania. Its rural character features rolling hills, farmland, and the Delaware River. Towns like Belvidere, the county seat, are known for Victorian architecture, while Hackettstown offers a college-town atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to numerous parks, forests, and conservation areas, including Jenny Jump State Forest and Allamuchy Mountain State Park, providing miles of hiking and biking trails.

Life in Warren County often appeals to those seeking a balance between natural surroundings and accessibility to urban centers. Many residents commute to nearby cities, with options including NJ Transit bus services to New York City and Newark, though commute times can be longer than the national average. The public schools in Warren County are generally above average. The local economy, while featuring healthcare, social assistance, and retail, has recently seen significant investment in sectors like transportation and warehousing. This development reflects a broader trend of growth in logistics and data infrastructure within the region.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.8x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+5.2%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+2.2%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
0.9

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.8x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Warren Hospital Healthcare
  2. 2
    Asbury Carbons Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Yateks Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Righteous Talent Other
  5. 5
    Centenary University Education
  6. 6
    Warren County Community College Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Warren County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
109,739
+0.35% YoY
Median Household Income
$92,620
Median Home Value
$302,300
+2.18% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,292
Average Annual Pay
$64,742
+3.6% YoY
Employment
33,264
+2.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3064
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.17%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
35.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$415,000
Days on Market
38
Active market
Months of Supply
2.8
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.6%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
65.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
17.6%
Building Permits (2024)
720
Single-Family Permits
298

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
3.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
71.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.0
Good
Good Air Days
66%
719 of 1,082 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
7
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
42
2022
43
2023
41
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$3,080M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Data Center Campus
Amazon
$3,000M Proposed
Mansfield Meadows 55+ (Residential Development)
Ryan Homes
$50M Under Construction
Community Solar Portfolio (Multiple Projects)
Various (e.g., NextEra Renewable Fuels, NJR Clean Energy Ventures Corporation)
$30M Operating/Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +5.2% 84 percentile
Population Growth +0.3% 45 percentile
Income Growth +8.8% 56 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.5% 95 percentile
Home Price Change +2.2% 61 percentile
Rent Growth +4.8% 77 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 49 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warren County, NJ a good place to move to?

At 35/100, Warren County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $92,620 combined with job growth of +2.0% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Warren County affordable?

Housing in Warren County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $302,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $1,292/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Warren County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Warren County are hiring — job growth of +2.0% — but the population is close to flat (+0.3% YoY). Home values moved +2.2% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Warren County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.17% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Warren County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Burlington County, NJ 35 Monmouth County, NJ 36 Mercer County, NJ 30 Somerset County, NJ 28 Essex County, NJ 43 Cumberland County, NJ 44 Yuba County, CA 35 Washington County, VT 35