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Warren County, NJ

RANK #492 / 1001 NAT  ·  #10 / 21 NJ  ·  POP 110,849

1YR FORECAST: +1.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +28%

Warren County's housing market is projected to grow +1.0% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Warren County?

Warren County, New Jersey, distinguishes itself with its scenic Delaware Water Gap, offering extensive outdoor recreation opportunities. The county, located in northwest New Jersey, is about 60 miles from Midtown Manhattan and 40 miles from Allentown, Pennsylvania. Its rural character features rolling hills, farmland, and the Delaware River. Towns like Belvidere, the county seat, are known for Victorian architecture, while Hackettstown offers a college-town atmosphere. Residents enjoy access to numerous parks, forests, and conservation areas, including Jenny Jump State Forest and Allamuchy Mountain State Park, providing miles of hiking and biking trails.

Life in Warren County often appeals to those seeking a balance between natural surroundings and accessibility to urban centers. Many residents commute to nearby cities, with options including NJ Transit bus services to New York City and Newark, though commute times can be longer than the national average. The public schools in Warren County are generally above average. The local economy, while featuring healthcare, social assistance, and retail, has recently seen significant investment in sectors like transportation and warehousing. This development reflects a broader trend of growth in logistics and data infrastructure within the region.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Educated Suburban Growth

Warren County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.0% matches the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
17.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.0%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
0.9

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 17.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Warren Hospital Healthcare
  2. 2
    Asbury Carbons Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Yateks Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Righteous Talent Other
  5. 5
    Centenary University Education
  6. 6
    Warren County Community College Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Warren County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
110,849
+0.55% YoY
Median Household Income
$100,869
Median Home Value
$346,500
+2.02% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,409
Average Annual Pay
$65,681
+1.5% YoY
Employment
33,879
+1.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2911
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.1%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
36.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$410,500
Days on Market
21
Active market
Months of Supply
2.5
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
102.5%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
58.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.3%
Building Permits (2025)
335
Single-Family Permits
292

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
3.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
71.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.0
Good
Good Air Days
66%
719 of 1,082 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
7
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
42
2022
43
2023
41
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$3,080M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Data Center Campus
Amazon
$3,000M Proposed
Mansfield Meadows 55+ (Residential Development)
Ryan Homes
$50M Under Construction
Community Solar Portfolio (Multiple Projects)
Various (e.g., NextEra Renewable Fuels, NJR Clean Energy Ventures Corporation)
$30M Operating/Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.6% 46 percentile
Income Growth +1.3% 19 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.3% 97 percentile
Home Price Change +2.0% 56 percentile
Rent Growth +4.6% 73 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 60 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warren County, NJ a good place to move to?

Warren County scores 50/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#492). Median household income is $100,869 and job growth is running at +1.8%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Warren County affordable?

Housing in Warren County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $346,500 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $1,409/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Warren County growing or shrinking?

Warren County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.8% clip. Home values shifted +2.0% in the past year.

Are people moving to Warren County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.1% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Warren County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Bergen County, NJ 50 Gloucester County, NJ 51 Ocean County, NJ 49 Camden County, NJ 52 Sussex County, NJ 61 Mercer County, NJ 38 Clinton County, MI 50 Rowan County, NC 50