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Paulding County, GA

RANK #867 / 1001 NAT  ·  #33 / 41 GA  ·  POP 178,909

1YR FORECAST: -2.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +21%

#6 Most Overvalued
Our model projects Paulding County's housing market at -2.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Paulding County?

Paulding County, Georgia, is often recognized by locals for the Silver Comet Trail, a 61.5-mile paved path built on a former railway line, offering opportunities for biking, walking, and rollerblading through towns like Hiram and Dallas and into the Paulding Forest Wildlife Management Area. Located northwest of Atlanta, Paulding County provides a blend of small-town character with access to a major metropolitan area, typically a 45-60 minute commute to downtown Atlanta. The county features rolling hills and forests, with over 1,000 acres of parkland, including Pickett's Mill Battlefield Historic Site, one of the nation's best-preserved Civil War battlefields.

Life in Paulding County appeals to families and professionals seeking more space and a quieter environment, often accepting a longer commute to Atlanta for work. The Paulding County School District operates 34 schools, which are generally well-regarded. The local economy is experiencing growth, with recent investments in sectors such as healthcare, advanced manufacturing, and logistics. Paulding County also benefits from a moderate cost of living compared to other metro Atlanta counties.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Paulding County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -0.9% YoY, population +2.6%, wages +5.6%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
36.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-0.9%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 36.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Paulding County School District Education
    5,000+
  2. 2
    WellStar Paulding Hospital Healthcare
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Publix Super Markets Retail
    500+
  4. 4
    The Kroger Company Retail
  5. 5
    Walmart Retail
  6. 6
    Paulding County Government Government
  7. 7
    Interroll Manufacturing
    100+
  8. 8
    Tanner Medical System Healthcare
  9. 9
    GreyStone Power Corporation Energy
  10. 10
    Aerospace Fabrications of Georgia, Inc. Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Paulding County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
178,909
+2.65% YoY
Median Household Income
$98,031
Median Home Value
$326,300
-0.93% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,772
Average Annual Pay
$51,420
+5.6% YoY
Employment
30,813
+2.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3004
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.4%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
29.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$351,500
Days on Market
45
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
28.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
38.9%
Building Permits (2025)
1,326
Single-Family Permits
1,290

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
70.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$960M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Data Center on Cole Lake Road
Undisclosed
$500M Proposed
WellStar Paulding Hospital Expansion
WellStar Paulding Hospital
$300M Under Construction
Automann Southeastern Headquarters
Automann
$60M Completed
Paulding Northwest Atlanta Regional Airport Access Road
Georgia Department of Transportation
$50M Planned
Seven Hills Boulevard at Nature Walk Roundabout
Paulding County
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.6% 93 percentile
Income Growth +3.7% 72 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 54 percentile
Home Price Change -0.9% 18 percentile
Rent Growth -0.4% 9 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 73 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Paulding County, GA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Paulding County scores just 13/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #867 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +2.6% and median household income of $98,031 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Paulding County affordable?

Housing in Paulding County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $326,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $1,772/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Paulding County growing or shrinking?

Paulding County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.6% clip. Home values shifted -0.9% in the past year.

Are people moving to Paulding County?

In significant numbers — 5.4% of Paulding County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Columbia County, GA 13 Bibb County, GA 13 Troup County, GA 13 Muscogee County, GA 15 Cobb County, GA 15 Cherokee County, GA 16 Chittenden County, VT 13 Santa Fe County, NM 13