46 / 100

Lincoln County, OR

Lincoln City

RANK #530 / 996 NAT  ·  #6 / 18 OR  ·  POP 50,334

1YR FORECAST: +0.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +23%

#31 Best Climate & Terrain
Lincoln County's housing market is projected to grow +0.5% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Lincoln County?

Lincoln County, Oregon, distinguishes itself with its dramatic Pacific coastline and notable towns like Newport, home to the Oregon Coast Aquarium and Hatfield Marine Science Center, and Depoe Bay, known as the "whale watching capital of the world." Situated on the central Oregon Coast, roughly 88 miles from Portland and 58 miles from Salem, the county offers a temperate climate and a community feel that blends coastal relaxation with access to outdoor recreation. Residents and visitors enjoy miles of sandy beaches, rocky cliffs, and opportunities for surfing, fishing, crabbing, and hiking in areas like the Siuslaw National Forest and numerous state parks. The county's natural amenities, including its diverse landscapes and water access, are highly rated.

Life in Lincoln County is shaped by its coastal environment and a growing retiree population. While traditional industries like timber and fishing have seen a decline, tourism remains a major employer, alongside trade, services, and an emerging "Blue Economy" focused on marine science and technology. The Lincoln County School District serves approximately 5,200 students across 11 regular and 4 charter schools, with a student-teacher ratio of 16:1. Commute options within the county include local bus services and Dial-A-Ride in Newport and Lincoln City, with regional connections to cities like Corvallis, Albany, and Salem via the Coast to Valley Express.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+2.2%

Below national median

Home Prices
-0.3%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
6.1

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Confederated Tribes of Siletz Indians Other
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Lincoln County School District Education
    500+
  3. 3
    Samaritan Health Services Healthcare
  4. 4
    Lincoln County Government Government
  5. 5
    Oregon State University Hatfield Marine Science Center Education
    250+
  6. 6
    Georgia-Pacific-Toledo Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Pacific Seafood Other
  8. 8
    Central Lincoln PUD Energy
  9. 9
    Walmart Retail
  10. 10
    City of Newport Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Lincoln County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
50,334
+0.94% YoY
Median Household Income
$57,794
Median Home Value
$345,300
-0.32% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,057
Average Annual Pay
$50,886
+4.4% YoY
Employment
18,607
+0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1674
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.65%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$575,000
Days on Market
136
Slower market
Months of Supply
8.9
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
8.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
15.8%
Building Permits (2024)
280
Single-Family Permits
147

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
21.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
132.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.2% 39 percentile
Population Growth +0.9% 70 percentile
Income Growth +5.2% 4 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 27 percentile
Home Price Change -0.3% 28 percentile
Rent Growth +9.4% 97 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 38 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lincoln County, OR a good place to move to?

Lincoln County scores 46/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#530). Median household income is $57,794 and job growth is running at +0.3%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Lincoln County affordable?

Lincoln County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $345,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.17 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,057/month on average.

Is Lincoln County growing or shrinking?

Lincoln County's population is growing — up +0.9% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.3%). Home values shifted -0.3% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Lincoln County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.65% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Lincoln County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[08] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Polk County, OR 46 Yamhill County, OR 44 Jackson County, OR 50 Columbia County, OR 51 Lane County, OR 52 Klamath County, OR 56 Livingston County, NY 46 Franklin County, VT 47