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Jefferson County, AR

Vaugine

RANK #108 / 996 NAT  ·  #4 / 13 AR  ·  POP 66,934

1YR FORECAST: -0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +36%

#38 Most Affordable
Our model projects Jefferson County's housing market to grow -0.3% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

The Arkansas River, a central feature of Jefferson County, has shaped its history and continues to offer recreational opportunities. Pine Bluff, the county seat, is about 42 miles south of Little Rock, with Interstate 530 connecting the two cities, making for a commute under an hour. The county's landscape transitions from pine-covered hills in the west to fertile Delta farmland in the east. This natural setting provides extensive outdoor recreation, including hunting, fishing, biking, and hiking, with facilities like the Delta Rivers Nature Center and Jefferson County Regional Park.

Life in Jefferson County is characterized by a mix of community sizes, from the larger city of Pine Bluff to smaller towns like White Hall and Redfield. The local economy is diversifying, with significant activity in agricultural product processing and manufacturing. Educational institutions, including the University of Arkansas at Pine Bluff, contribute to the workforce. Recent developments include investments in energy production and ongoing projects aimed at enhancing local amenities and infrastructure.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
2.6x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
-4.4%

Contracting economy

Home Prices
-2.3%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-1.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 2.6x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Tyson Foods, Inc. Manufacturing
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Arkansas Department of Correction Government
  3. 3
    Jefferson Regional Medical Center (JRMC) Healthcare
  4. 4
    Evergreen Packaging, Inc. Manufacturing
  5. 5
    University of Arkansas at Pine Bluff Education
    500+
  6. 6
    Pine Bluff Arsenal Department - Army Military
  7. 7
    National Center for Toxicological Research (NCTR) Government
  8. 8
    Union Pacific Railroad Logistics
  9. 9
    Wal-Mart Supercenter Retail
  10. 10
    Pine Bluff School District Education

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
66,934
-1.85% YoY
Median Household Income
$46,855
Median Home Value
$105,300
-2.32% 12mo
Median Rent
$820
Average Annual Pay
$51,569
+2.0% YoY
Employment
25,233
-2.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.445
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.71%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
20.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$165,000
Days on Market
91
Slower market
Months of Supply
7.4
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.2%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
12.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.8%
Building Permits (2024)
63
Single-Family Permits
53

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
37.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
43.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
125.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$5,700M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Gas-to-Liquids (GTL) Facility
GTL Americas (Energy Security Partners, Hanwha Petrochemicals, Arkansas Teachers Retirement Fund)
$3,500M Proposed
Jefferson Power Station
Entergy Arkansas
$1,600M Planned
Arkansas Cypress Solar and Battery
Entergy Arkansas (partnering with Google)
$600M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth -4.4% 1 percentile
Population Growth -1.9% 1 percentile
Income Growth +7.2% 19 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 33 percentile
Home Price Change -2.3% 13 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 84 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, AR a good place to move to?

Jefferson County ranks #108 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 89/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 2.4% year-over-year). Median household income here is $46,855.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

By national standards, Jefferson County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $105,300, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.45 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $820/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Both population (-1.9% YoY) and employment (-2.4%) are contracting in Jefferson County, though housing tells its own story with values moving -2.3% over the past 12 months. This is a county where the trend lines are pointing in the wrong direction.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.71% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Jefferson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Pope County, AR 88 Craighead County, AR 92 Lonoke County, AR 93 Sebastian County, AR 85 Washington County, AR 84 Crawford County, AR 83 Wood County, WI 89 Anderson County, TX 89