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Crawford County, AR

RANK #158 / 1001 NAT  ·  #5 / 13 AR  ·  POP 61,139

1YR FORECAST: +1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +34%

Our model projects Crawford County's housing market to grow +1.7% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Crawford County?

Van Buren, the county seat of Crawford County, Arkansas, offers a glimpse into the past with its preserved 19th-century architecture, including Victorian homes and a charming downtown area. Located in northwestern Arkansas, Crawford County is part of the Fort Smith metropolitan area and is characterized by rolling hills, forests, and fertile river valleys. Commuting to Fort Smith is common, and the county's central location provides access to major transportation networks. The area boasts natural amenities, with outdoor recreation opportunities at Lake Fort Smith State Park and Devil's Den State Park, offering camping, fishing, hiking, and boating. The Ozark National Forest also covers a significant portion of the county, providing additional outdoor activities.

Life in Crawford County often appeals to families, with public schools generally performing above average. Many residents own their homes, contributing to a stable community feel. The local economy, historically rooted in agriculture and related industries, is seeing new developments. Energy sector investments are contributing to economic growth, with projects focused on modernizing infrastructure and exploring cleaner energy generation, such as natural gas and renewable sources. These developments aim to support job creation and maintain affordable power for residents and businesses.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Crawford County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +7.3% runs above the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+7.3%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 12.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    USA Truck, Inc. Logistics
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Simmons Foods, Inc. Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Tyson Foods, Inc. Manufacturing
    500+
  4. 4
    Van Buren School District Education
  5. 5
    Walmart Stores, Inc. Retail
  6. 6
    Alma School District Education
    250+
  7. 7
    Community Health Systems (CHS) Healthcare
  8. 8
    Bekaert Corporation Manufacturing
    100+
  9. 9
    Experian Consumer Direct Other
  10. 10
    PepperSource Limited Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Crawford County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
61,139
+0.57% YoY
Median Household Income
$64,132
Median Home Value
$182,800
+7.27% 12mo
Median Rent
$851
Average Annual Pay
$50,158
+2.8% YoY
Employment
17,865
-7.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3508
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.7%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
20.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$225,000
Days on Market
39
Active market
Months of Supply
2.5
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.2%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
19.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.8%
Building Permits (2025)
46
Single-Family Permits
30

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
77.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$550M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Shasta Power Solar Farm with Battery Storage
Shasta Power
$500M Under Construction
Crawford Battery/Storage
Cleanview (developer not specified)
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.6% 47 percentile
Income Growth +6.2% 96 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 55 percentile
Home Price Change +7.3% 97 percentile
Rent Growth +4.9% 76 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 60 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Crawford County, AR a good place to move to?

Crawford County ranks #158 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 84/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 7.4% year-over-year). Median household income here is $64,132.

Is Crawford County affordable?

By national standards, Crawford County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $182,800, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.35 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $851/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Crawford County growing or shrinking?

Crawford County is attracting residents (population +0.6% YoY) even as the job market softens with employment at -7.4%. Housing values changed +7.3% over the past 12 months. People may be moving here for affordability or lifestyle reasons rather than job opportunities.

Are people moving to Crawford County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.7% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Crawford County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Crawford County?

Home values climbed +7.3% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Crawford County is now valued at $182,800. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Craighead County, AR 80 Garland County, AR 92 Sebastian County, AR 96 White County, AR 72 Lonoke County, AR 97 Pope County, AR 98 Darlington County, SC 84 Culpeper County, VA 84