26 / 100

Warren County, OH

Deerfield

RANK #734 / 996 NAT  ·  #48 / 49 OH  ·  POP 243,189

1YR FORECAST: +1.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +18%

Our model projects Warren County's housing market at +1.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Warren County?

Known as "Ohio's Largest Playground," Warren County is located in southwestern Ohio, positioned between the major cities of Dayton and Cincinnati. The county is home to Kings Island Amusement Park, a significant regional attraction. Commuting to either Cincinnati or Dayton is common, with access to Interstates 71 and 75. The average one-way commute for residents is approximately 25.6 minutes. The area offers outdoor recreation opportunities, including Caesar Creek State Park for hiking and boating, and the Little Miami Scenic River for paddling.

Warren County offers a quality of life that attracts families, with highly-rated public school districts such as Mason City School District and Springboro Community City School District. The county maintains a family-friendly atmosphere and is recognized for its safety. The economy is experiencing growth, with recent investments in sectors like data centers, industrial and logistics operations, and advanced manufacturing. These developments contribute to job creation and a diverse economic landscape within the county.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.7x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+4.6%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+1.5%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.7x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Procter & Gamble Company Other
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Macy's Credit and Customer Service Finance
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Luxottica (Lenscrafters) Retail
  4. 4
    WellPoint (Anthem Blue Cross and Blue Shield) Healthcare
  5. 5
    Atrium Medical Center Healthcare
  6. 6
    Cintas Corporation Other
  7. 7
    Warren County Government Government
  8. 8
    Mason City Schools Education
  9. 9
    Cincinnati Premium Outlets Retail
  10. 10
    Otterbein Healthcare
    500+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Warren County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
243,189
+1.52% YoY
Median Household Income
$103,128
Median Home Value
$290,900
+1.51% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,254
Average Annual Pay
$69,570
+7.0% YoY
Employment
100,746
-0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3545
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.27%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
44.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$369,000
Days on Market
60
Slower market
Months of Supply
2.9
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
19.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
17.3%
Building Permits (2024)
1,232
Single-Family Permits
693

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
63.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.0
Good
Good Air Days
64%
691 of 1,080 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
12
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
44
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$5,528M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Data Center
Amazon
$3,000M Planned
Ultium Cells Battery Cell Manufacturing Facility
Ultium Cells LLC (GM & LG Energy Solution joint venture)
$2,300M Operating
C5 Encore Logistics Center
Core5 Industrial Partners
$100M Under Construction
Amazon Delivery Facility (Turtlecreek Township)
Amazon
$50M Planned
S.R. 48 Signalization & Widening (South Lebanon)
Warren County Engineer's Office
$50M Under Construction
Cincinnati Zoo Solar Farm
Cincinnati Zoo / Rocknoll Energy
$28M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.6% 79 percentile
Population Growth +1.5% 83 percentile
Income Growth +7.8% 31 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 83 percentile
Home Price Change +1.5% 53 percentile
Rent Growth +3.7% 63 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 55 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warren County, OH a good place to move to?

At 26/100, Warren County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $103,128 combined with job growth of -0.3% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Warren County affordable?

By national standards, Warren County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $290,900, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.35 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,254/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Warren County growing or shrinking?

Warren County's population is growing — up +1.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.3%). Home values shifted +1.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Warren County?

In significant numbers — 5.27% of Warren County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Delaware County, OH 20 Athens County, OH 36 Fairfield County, OH 38 Lawrence County, OH 44 Clermont County, OH 46 Franklin County, OH 47 Williamson County, TN 26 Johnston County, NC 26