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Warren County, OH

RANK #833 / 1001 NAT  ·  #48 / 49 OH  ·  POP 250,008

1YR FORECAST: +0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +22%

Our model projects Warren County's housing market at +0.8% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Warren County?

Known as "Ohio's Largest Playground," Warren County is located in southwestern Ohio, positioned between the major cities of Dayton and Cincinnati. The county is home to Kings Island Amusement Park, a significant regional attraction. Commuting to either Cincinnati or Dayton is common, with access to Interstates 71 and 75. The average one-way commute for residents is approximately 25.6 minutes. The area offers outdoor recreation opportunities, including Caesar Creek State Park for hiking and boating, and the Little Miami Scenic River for paddling.

Warren County offers a quality of life that attracts families, with highly-rated public school districts such as Mason City School District and Springboro Community City School District. The county maintains a family-friendly atmosphere and is recognized for its safety. The economy is experiencing growth, with recent investments in sectors like data centers, industrial and logistics operations, and advanced manufacturing. These developments contribute to job creation and a diverse economic landscape within the county.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Educated Suburban Growth

Warren County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.4% runs below the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.4%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 12.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Procter & Gamble Company Other
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Macy's Credit and Customer Service Finance
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Luxottica (Lenscrafters) Retail
  4. 4
    WellPoint (Anthem Blue Cross and Blue Shield) Healthcare
  5. 5
    Atrium Medical Center Healthcare
  6. 6
    Cintas Corporation Other
  7. 7
    Warren County Government Government
  8. 8
    Mason City Schools Education
  9. 9
    Cincinnati Premium Outlets Retail
  10. 10
    Otterbein Healthcare
    500+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Warren County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
250,008
+1.48% YoY
Median Household Income
$110,132
Median Home Value
$349,400
+1.44% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,361
Average Annual Pay
$69,663
+0.1% YoY
Employment
102,383
+1.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3152
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.55%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
45.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$436,000
Days on Market
40
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.7
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
31.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.1%
Building Permits (2025)
1,442
Single-Family Permits
838

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
63.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.0
Good
Good Air Days
64%
691 of 1,080 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
12
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
44
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$5,528M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Data Center
Amazon
$3,000M Planned
Ultium Cells Battery Cell Manufacturing Facility
Ultium Cells LLC (GM & LG Energy Solution joint venture)
$2,300M Operating
C5 Encore Logistics Center
Core5 Industrial Partners
$100M Under Construction
Amazon Delivery Facility (Turtlecreek Township)
Amazon
$50M Planned
S.R. 48 Signalization & Widening (South Lebanon)
Warren County Engineer's Office
$50M Under Construction
Cincinnati Zoo Solar Farm
Cincinnati Zoo / Rocknoll Energy
$28M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.5% 79 percentile
Income Growth +2.1% 34 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 76 percentile
Home Price Change +1.4% 46 percentile
Rent Growth +2.6% 44 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 50 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warren County, OH a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Warren County scores just 16/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #833 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.6% and median household income of $110,132 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Warren County affordable?

Housing in Warren County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $349,400 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $1,361/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Warren County growing or shrinking?

Warren County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.5% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.6% clip. Home values shifted +1.4% in the past year.

Are people moving to Warren County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.55% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Warren County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Delaware County, OH 19 Ross County, OH 21 Pickaway County, OH 25 Fairfield County, OH 28 Union County, OH 4 Belmont County, OH 34 Cherokee County, GA 16 Muscogee County, GA 15