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Warren County, KY

Bowling Green

RANK #574 / 996 NAT  ·  #8 / 19 KY  ·  POP 135,307

1YR FORECAST: +1.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +22%

Warren County's housing market is projected to grow +1.0% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Warren County?

Home to the General Motors Corvette Assembly Plant and the National Corvette Museum, Warren County, Kentucky, is located in the south-central part of the state, about an hour north of Nashville, Tennessee. The county seat, Bowling Green, sits along the Barren River, which, along with the Green River forming the county's northern border, offers opportunities for paddling and fishing. Interstate 65 transects the county, providing direct commutes. The area features rolling landscapes and numerous parks, including Lost River Cave, which offers underground boat tours.

Warren County maintains a quality of life that attracts families and young professionals. The public school system, Warren County Public Schools, serves over 18,000 students across 34 schools and is recognized for its academic and athletic programs. Western Kentucky University also contributes to the educational landscape. The local economy is experiencing growth, driven by investments in manufacturing, including a new Tyson Foods bacon production facility and the Envision AESC plant. Housing developments are also underway to address the demand for affordable options.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.5x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+6.5%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+1.1%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.7

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 3.5x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Western Kentucky University Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Med Center Health Healthcare
  3. 3
    Warren County Public Schools Education
  4. 4
    BG Metalforming LLC Manufacturing
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Union Underwear Co. LLC (Fruit of the Loom) Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Sun Products Corporation Manufacturing
    500+
  7. 7
    General Motors Corporation Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Graves-Gilbert Clinic PSC Healthcare
  9. 9
    Houchens Food Group Inc. Retail
  10. 10
    City of Bowling Green Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Warren County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
135,307
+1.57% YoY
Median Household Income
$63,074
Median Home Value
$227,300
+1.09% 12mo
Median Rent
$942
Average Annual Pay
$55,488
+4.3% YoY
Employment
70,761
+2.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2775
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.98%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
32.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$340,000
Days on Market
146
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.9
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
10.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
14.3%
Building Permits (2024)
2,286
Single-Family Permits
791

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
73.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.0
Good
Good Air Days
65%
704 of 1,091 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
5
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
45
2022
43
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$5,624M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Data Center
Amazon
$3,000M Planned
EV Battery Gigafactory
Envision AESC
$2,000M Under Construction
Tyson Foods Bacon Production Facility
Tyson Foods
$355M Completed
Echo Trail Affordable Housing Community
LDG Development, PNC Bank, Kentucky Housing Corporation
$223M Under Construction
Kentucky Transpark Expansion
City of Bowling Green and Warren County
$46M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +6.5% 92 percentile
Population Growth +1.6% 84 percentile
Income Growth +9.5% 71 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 38 percentile
Home Price Change +1.1% 47 percentile
Rent Growth +0.8% 17 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 36 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warren County, KY a good place to move to?

Warren County scores 42/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#574). Median household income is $63,074 and job growth is running at +2.2%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Warren County affordable?

Housing in Warren County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $227,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.28, with rents averaging $942/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Warren County growing or shrinking?

Warren County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.2% clip. Home values shifted +1.1% in the past year.

Are people moving to Warren County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.98% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Warren County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Jefferson County, KY 42 Christian County, KY 36 McCracken County, KY 36 Campbell County, KY 34 Boone County, KY 32 Scott County, KY 61 Saline County, AR 42 Washington County, MD 42