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Warren County, IA

RANK #358 / 1001 NAT  ·  #3 / 11 IA  ·  POP 54,409

1YR FORECAST: +1.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +31%

Warren County's housing market is projected to grow +1.5% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Warren County?

Indianola, the county seat, is a notable town in Warren County, Iowa, known for hosting the National Balloon Classic, an annual hot air balloon event. Located in central Iowa, Warren County sits just south of Des Moines, making it part of the Des Moines metropolitan area. This proximity allows for a commute to the city while offering a community feel with rolling hills and natural scenery. Outdoor recreation opportunities abound, with over 2,700 acres of parks and trails, including Lake Ahquabi for canoeing and fishing, and the Great Western Trail for hiking and biking. Life in Warren County often appeals to families and young professionals, with public schools generally performing above average. The local economy is experiencing growth, particularly in commercial and residential development, as well as the technology sector, including data centers. Efforts are also underway to support business retention and expansion, new business starts, and workforce development, aiming to capitalize on the region's expansion.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Warren County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.8% YoY, population +1.7%, wages +3.7%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
20.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.8%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.2

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 20.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Warren County School Districts Education
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Warren County Government Government
    2,500+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Warren County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
54,409
+1.73% YoY
Median Household Income
$94,588
Median Home Value
$269,600
+2.78% 12mo
Median Rent
$973
Average Annual Pay
$53,138
+3.7% YoY
Employment
13,614
+3.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3508
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
6.37%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
33.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$309,500
Days on Market
32
Active market
Months of Supply
2.2
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
18.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.9%
Building Permits (2025)
465
Single-Family Permits
355

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
8.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
72.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$16,650M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Proposed Norwalk Data Center Campus
Undisclosed Developer
$12,000M Proposed
Amazon Web Services Data Center (Project Steamboat)
Amazon Web Services (AWS)
$3,000M Planned
Microsoft Data Center (Project Osmium)
Microsoft
$1,500M Under Construction
New Residential Developments (Multiple Communities)
Various Developers (e.g., D.R. Horton)
$100M Under Construction
Broadband Project
Warren County
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.7% 83 percentile
Income Growth +1.7% 26 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 34 percentile
Home Price Change +2.8% 65 percentile
Rent Growth +5.6% 83 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 20 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warren County, IA a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 64/100, Warren County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +3.7%, and median household income stands at $94,588 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in IA.

Is Warren County affordable?

By national standards, Warren County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $269,600, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.35 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $973/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Warren County growing or shrinking?

Warren County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.7% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +3.7% clip. Home values shifted +2.8% in the past year.

Are people moving to Warren County?

In significant numbers — 6.37% of Warren County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Woodbury County, IA 65 Linn County, IA 68 Scott County, IA 56 Pottawattamie County, IA 51 Dubuque County, IA 42 Story County, IA 35 Dearborn County, IN 64 Columbia County, PA 64