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Tuscola County, MI

Caro

RANK #70 / 996 NAT  ·  #9 / 36 MI  ·  POP 53,218

1YR FORECAST: +4.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +37%

#21 Most Affordable
Our model projects Tuscola County's housing market to grow +4.5% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Tuscola County?

Tuscola County, located in Michigan's "Thumb" region, is characterized by its flat, agricultural landscape and small-town atmosphere, with Caro serving as the county seat. The county is about 30 miles east of Saginaw and 90 miles north of Detroit. Commuting within Tuscola County averages around 29.1 minutes, slightly longer than the national average. The area offers various outdoor recreation opportunities, including biking, canoeing, fishing, and hiking, with parks like Vanderbilt County Park and Arthur Latham Park providing trails and green spaces.

Life in Tuscola County often appeals to those seeking a slower pace and rural surroundings. The housing market is generally more affordable than in Michigan's urban areas, with a high percentage of detached single-family homes. The economy is largely driven by agriculture, with Tuscola County ranking among Michigan's top farm economies. The Tuscola County Economic Development Corporation focuses on supporting local businesses in agriculture, manufacturing, and clean energy, aiming to enhance the quality of life through economic growth. Public education is provided by several local school districts, including Caro Community Schools and Cass City Public Schools.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.9x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
-2.2%

Contracting economy

Home Prices
+8.8%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.6

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.9x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Caro Regional Center Healthcare
    500+
  2. 2
    Tuscola County Government Government
    250+
  3. 3
    Walbro Engine Management Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Lighthouse Neurological Rehab Healthcare
  5. 5
    Tuscola Intermediate School District Education
    100+
  6. 6
    Hills & Dales General Hospital Healthcare
  7. 7
    Caro Community Schools Education
  8. 8
    Vassar School District Education
  9. 9
    Human Development Commission Other
  10. 10
    Walmart Retail

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Tuscola County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
53,218
-0.13% YoY
Median Household Income
$59,815
Median Home Value
$127,200
+8.78% 12mo
Median Rent
$782
Average Annual Pay
$50,754
+6.2% YoY
Employment
12,102
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4702
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.45%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
15.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$152,500
Days on Market
66
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
20.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
21.3%
Building Permits (2024)
55
Single-Family Permits
55

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
14.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
88.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
34.0
Good
Good Air Days
92%
985 of 1,076 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
8
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
34
2022
34
2023
34
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth -2.2% 2 percentile
Population Growth -0.1% 23 percentile
Income Growth +8.4% 48 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 86 percentile
Home Price Change +8.8% 99 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 48 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Tuscola County, MI a good place to move to?

Tuscola County ranks #70 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 93/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.0% and a median household income of $59,815 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Tuscola County affordable?

By national standards, Tuscola County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $127,200, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.47 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $782/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Tuscola County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Tuscola County are both close to flat — population -0.1% YoY and jobs +1.0%. Home values shifted +8.8% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Tuscola County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.45% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Tuscola County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Tuscola County?

Home values climbed +8.8% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Tuscola County is now valued at $127,200. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Lenawee County, MI 94 Muskegon County, MI 94 Ionia County, MI 94 Midland County, MI 94 Shiawassee County, MI 92 Cass County, MI 92 Pulaski County, MO 93 Saline County, KS 93