97 / 100

Trumbull County, OH

Warren

RANK #28 / 996 NAT  ·  #4 / 49 OH  ·  POP 201,749

1YR FORECAST: +5.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +42%

#11 Best for Investment #44 Most Affordable
Our model projects Trumbull County's housing market to grow +5.0% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Trumbull County?

Trumbull County, Ohio, stands out as the state's only perfectly square county, covering 625 square miles. Located in Northeast Ohio, midway between Cleveland and Pittsburgh, the county seat, Warren, was an early hub for the Connecticut Western Reserve. The community offers a blend of historic towns like Newton Falls, known for its waterfalls and historic covered bridge, and expansive natural areas. With over 44,000 acres dedicated to outdoor recreation, including Mosquito Lake State Park and the Western Reserve Greenway, residents and visitors have opportunities for boating, fishing, hiking, and biking. Public transportation options are available, including curb-to-curb services. Life in Trumbull County offers a mix of suburban and rural living, with a notable percentage of retirees. The public school districts in the county are generally rated above average. The economy is experiencing new investment, particularly in manufacturing, data centers, and energy sectors. This growth is attracting new businesses and creating jobs, with ongoing infrastructure development to support the expanding workforce and housing needs.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.2x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.5%

Above national median

Home Prices
+7.2%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
9x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 3.2x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Ultium Cells Manufacturing
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Youngstown Air Reserve Station Military
  3. 3
    Mercy Health Healthcare
  4. 4
    Vallourec Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Kimberly-Clark Corp. Manufacturing
    500+
  6. 6
    Trumbull County Government Government
  7. 7
    Warren City Schools Education
  8. 8
    Walmart Stores Inc. Retail
  9. 9
    Aptiv PLC Manufacturing
  10. 10
    AVI Food Systems Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Trumbull County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
201,749
-0.22% YoY
Median Household Income
$53,537
Median Home Value
$121,400
+7.15% 12mo
Median Rent
$752
Average Annual Pay
$51,810
+5.1% YoY
Employment
65,830
+2.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.441
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.88%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
20.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$160,000
Days on Market
89
Slower market
Months of Supply
2.7
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
23.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.0%
Building Permits (2024)
127
Single-Family Permits
127

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
113.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
45.0
Good
Good Air Days
62%
672 of 1,087 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
13
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
45
2022
42
2023
48
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$5,697M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Stargate AI Data Center Campus
OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank
$3,600M Under Construction
Trumbull Energy Center (Natural Gas Power Plant)
Clean Energy Future - Trumbull, LLC
$1,200M Under Construction
Kimberly-Clark Manufacturing Plant
Kimberly-Clark Corp.
$800M Under Construction
Community Solar Portfolio (Multiple Projects)
Various (e.g., SolAmerica Energy Development LLC, Madison Energy Holdings LLC)
$50M Planned
Golden Triangle Industrial Zone Infrastructure Upgrades
Eastgate Regional Council of Governments
$47M Completed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.5% 65 percentile
Population Growth -0.2% 20 percentile
Income Growth +6.5% 12 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 33 percentile
Home Price Change +7.2% 98 percentile
Rent Growth +5.2% 81 percentile
Price/Rent 9x 94 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Trumbull County, OH a good place to move to?

Trumbull County ranks #28 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 97/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +2.1% and a median household income of $53,537 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Trumbull County affordable?

By national standards, Trumbull County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $121,400, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.44 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $752/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Trumbull County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Trumbull County are hiring — job growth of +2.1% — but the population is close to flat (-0.2% YoY). Home values moved +7.2% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are many people relocating to Trumbull County?

Not particularly — 1.88% of Trumbull County's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

How is the housing market in Trumbull County?

Home values climbed +7.2% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Trumbull County is now valued at $121,400. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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