RANK #54 / 1001 NAT · #4 / 49 OH · POP 200,929
1YR FORECAST: +3.0%
5YR OUTLOOK: +38%
Trumbull County, Ohio, stands out as the state's only perfectly square county, covering 625 square miles. Located in Northeast Ohio, midway between Cleveland and Pittsburgh, the county seat, Warren, was an early hub for the Connecticut Western Reserve. The community offers a blend of historic towns like Newton Falls, known for its waterfalls and historic covered bridge, and expansive natural areas. With over 44,000 acres dedicated to outdoor recreation, including Mosquito Lake State Park and the Western Reserve Greenway, residents and visitors have opportunities for boating, fishing, hiking, and biking. Public transportation options are available, including curb-to-curb services. Life in Trumbull County offers a mix of suburban and rural living, with a notable percentage of retirees. The public school districts in the county are generally rated above average. The economy is experiencing new investment, particularly in manufacturing, data centers, and energy sectors. This growth is attracting new businesses and creating jobs, with ongoing infrastructure development to support the expanding workforce and housing needs.
Trumbull County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +7.9% runs above the profile's typical +4.9%.
See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →Overvalued relative to economy
Below-average climate & terrain
Housing looks overvalued at 8.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.
Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →
Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →
| PROJECT | AMOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|
|
Stargate AI Data Center Campus
OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank
|
$3,600M | Under Construction |
|
Trumbull Energy Center (Natural Gas Power Plant)
Clean Energy Future - Trumbull, LLC
|
$1,200M | Under Construction |
|
Kimberly-Clark Manufacturing Plant
Kimberly-Clark Corp.
|
$800M | Under Construction |
|
Community Solar Portfolio (Multiple Projects)
Various (e.g., SolAmerica Energy Development LLC, Madison Energy Holdings LLC)
|
$50M | Planned |
|
Golden Triangle Industrial Zone Infrastructure Upgrades
Eastgate Regional Council of Governments
|
$47M | Completed |
Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.
Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.
Trumbull County ranks #54 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 95/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 1.1% year-over-year). Median household income here is $56,435.
By national standards, Trumbull County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $141,800, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.40 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $797/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.
Trumbull County's job market is contracting (-1.1% YoY) while population is roughly stable (-0.2% change). Home values are +7.9% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.
There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.07% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Trumbull County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.
Home values climbed +7.9% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Trumbull County is now valued at $141,800. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.