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Sumner County, TN

RANK #738 / 996  ·  POP 196,845  ·  TN

PROJECTED GROWTH: -0.2%

Sumner County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Sumner County?

Sumner County, Tennessee, often called "Nashville's North Shore," is distinguished by its extensive 440 miles of Old Hickory Lake shoreline, attracting residents and visitors for boating, fishing, and lakeside recreation. Located northeast of Nashville, the county offers a blend of small-town character and access to city amenities, with Hendersonville and Gallatin serving as prominent towns. Commuting to Nashville primarily involves car travel via State Route 386 and US-31E, with limited public transit options. The community provides numerous parks and greenways, such as Drakes Creek Park and the Hendersonville Greenway, for outdoor activities.

Life in Sumner County appeals to a diverse population, including families and retirees, drawn by its schools and natural scenery. The Sumner County Schools district is recognized for its quality education and career-focused programs. The local economy is experiencing growth, with investments in manufacturing, commercial and residential development, and the energy sector. This expansion is creating new job opportunities and contributing to the county's evolving economic landscape.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+5.0%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+0.5%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 7.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Sumner County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
196,845
+1.97% YoY
Median Household Income
$81,883
Median Home Value
$332,700
+0.47% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,245
Average Annual Pay
$59,304
+4.5% YoY
Employment
62,665
+2.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2461
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.21%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$444,900
Days on Market
85
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.7
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
13.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.5%
Building Permits (2024)
1,778
Single-Family Permits
1,620

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$3,490M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Meta Gallatin Data Center
Meta
$1,500M Under Construction
Hendersonville New Development (Retail, Office, Industrial)
Various Developers
$1,000M Approved
Evergy Natural Gas Plant
Evergy Energy
$500M Planned
Wild Plains Wind Farm
NextEra Energy Resources
$300M Completed
Simpson Strong-Tie Manufacturing Expansion
Simpson Strong-Tie
$110M Under Construction
Shoals Technologies Expansion
Shoals Technologies
$80M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +5.0% 83 percentile
Population Growth +2.0% 89 percentile
Income Growth +11.4% 92 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 33 percentile
Home Price Change +0.5% 37 percentile
Rent Growth +2.3% 38 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 19 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Sumner County, TN a good place to move to?

Sumner County has a Boom Town Index score of 26/100, ranking #738 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +2.6% and a median household income of $81,883, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Sumner County affordable?

The median home value in Sumner County is $332,700 with median rent at $1,245/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.2461, which is less affordable than the national average.

Is Sumner County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +2.0% year-over-year. Job growth: +2.6%. Home values changed +0.5% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Sumner County?

Yes — 4.21% of Sumner County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Crawford County, PA 36 Mobile County, AL 36 St. Mary's County, MD 36 Hanover County, VA 36 Bernalillo County, NM 36 Fayette County, PA 36 San Luis Obispo County, CA 36 Franklin County, MA 36