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Stanislaus County, CA

RANK #685 / 996  ·  POP 552,063  ·  CA

PROJECTED GROWTH: +0.1%

Stanislaus County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Stanislaus County?

Stanislaus County, situated in California's Central Valley, offers a blend of agricultural heritage and access to natural amenities. Modesto, the county seat, is known for its connection to car culture, as depicted in the film *American Graffiti*. The county is located east of the San Francisco Bay Area, serving as a bedroom community for those commuting to the eastern Bay Area. Commute options include regional transit services like StanRTA, which connects to Amtrak, Altamont Corridor Express (ACE) train stations, and BART stations in the Bay Area. Residents have access to outdoor recreation at Modesto Reservoir and Woodward Reservoir, offering camping, fishing, and boating. Frank Raines OHV Park and La Grange OHV Park provide opportunities for off-highway vehicle adventures, while numerous local parks offer picnic areas and sports fields.

Life in Stanislaus County often involves a mix of local community engagement and commutes to surrounding areas. The economy, historically rooted in agriculture, is diversifying with growth in commercial, industrial, and service sectors. Major investment is flowing into areas such as data centers, energy, industrial and logistics facilities, and infrastructure. The county's workforce has seen job growth in sectors like healthcare, private education, manufacturing, and transportation and warehousing. Educational institutions include California State University, Stanislaus in Turlock, and various K-12 school districts across the county.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+5.3%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-0.9%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
7.2

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Stanislaus County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
552,063
+0.22% YoY
Median Household Income
$74,872
Median Home Value
$393,300
-0.9% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,433
Average Annual Pay
$63,795
+5.1% YoY
Employment
199,396
+1.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1904
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.69%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$455,000
Days on Market
35
Active market
Months of Supply
2.8
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.9%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
43.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.1%
Building Permits (2024)
902
Single-Family Permits
833

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$2,206M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Public Works Capital Improvement Plan (Roads & Bridges)
Stanislaus County Public Works
$988M Planned
Amazon.com Services, LLC - OAK3 Data Center
Amazon.com Services, LLC
$500M Operating
Planned Battery Storage Portfolio (Oakdale, Geras, Saltgrass)
Various (e.g., CAISO interconnection queue projects)
$403M Planned
Proxima Solar Farm
Proxima Solar, LLC
$190M Operating
Crows Landing Industrial Business Park (CLIBP)
Stanislaus County
$75M Under Construction
Paulsell Solar Energy Center & Battery Storage
NextEra Energy Resources (for SFPUC CleanPowerSF)
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +5.3% 86 percentile
Population Growth +0.2% 39 percentile
Income Growth +9.5% 73 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 74 percentile
Home Price Change -0.9% 22 percentile
Rent Growth +2.0% 34 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 27 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Stanislaus County, CA a good place to move to?

Stanislaus County has a Boom Town Index score of 31/100, ranking #685 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +1.1% and a median household income of $74,872, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Stanislaus County affordable?

The median home value in Stanislaus County is $393,300 with median rent at $1,433/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.1904, which is less affordable than the national average.

Is Stanislaus County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +0.2% year-over-year. Job growth: +1.1%. Home values changed -0.9% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Stanislaus County?

Yes — 2.69% of Stanislaus County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

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