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Smith County, TX

RANK #495 / 1001 NAT  ·  #23 / 72 TX  ·  POP 241,740

1YR FORECAST: -1.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +28%

Smith County's housing market is projected to grow -1.0% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Smith County?

Known as the "Rose Capital of America," Smith County, Texas, is home to Tyler, a city celebrated for its extensive rose gardens and the annual Texas Rose Festival. Located in East Texas, approximately 90 miles east of Dallas/Fort Worth, the county offers a blend of natural beauty and community living. Residents have access to outdoor recreation at places like Tyler State Park, which features a spring-fed lake for boating and fishing, along with miles of hiking and biking trails through pine forests. The county's feel is often described as welcoming, with a strong sense of community. Commute times average around 23 minutes.

Life in Smith County is characterized by a mix of families and young professionals, with a notable emphasis on community engagement. The economy is largely driven by the healthcare sector, which is the largest employer in Tyler, with major systems like UT Health East Texas and CHRISTUS Trinity Mother Frances Health System providing numerous jobs and contributing significantly to the local economy. The county also has a history rooted in the oil and gas industry and rose production, which continues to be a distinctive local industry. Public schools in Smith County are highly rated, with several districts serving the area, including Lindale, UT Tyler University Academy, and Whitehouse.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction

Smith County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -1.1% runs above the profile's typical -3.7%.

See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-1.1%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.7

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    CHRISTUS Mother Frances Hospital Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    UT Health East Texas Healthcare
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Trane Technologies Manufacturing
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Sanderson Farms Agriculture
  5. 5
    Walmart Retail
  6. 6
    Brookshire Grocery Company Retail
  7. 7
    The University of Texas at Tyler Education
  8. 8
    Optimum Technology
  9. 9
    John Soules Foods Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Tyler Independent School District Education
    500+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Smith County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
241,740
+1.57% YoY
Median Household Income
$74,192
Median Home Value
$240,700
-1.12% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,238
Average Annual Pay
$59,682
+3.9% YoY
Employment
115,406
+1.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3082
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.13%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$319,000
Days on Market
56
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
5.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
1.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
29.5%
Building Permits (2025)
543
Single-Family Permits
517

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
74.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
37.7
Good
Good Air Days
84%
918 of 1,088 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
10
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
35
2022
40
2023
38
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.6% 81 percentile
Income Growth +3.1% 60 percentile
Vacancy Rate 3.0% 1 percentile
Home Price Change -1.1% 17 percentile
Rent Growth +0.2% 12 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 57 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Smith County, TX a good place to move to?

Smith County scores 50/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#495). Median household income is $74,192 and job growth is running at +1.7%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Smith County affordable?

Housing in Smith County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $240,700 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $1,238/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Smith County growing or shrinking?

Smith County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.6% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.7% clip. Home values shifted -1.1% in the past year.

Are people moving to Smith County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.13% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Smith County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Galveston County, TX 50 El Paso County, TX 49 Walker County, TX 49 Parker County, TX 53 Chambers County, TX 47 Lubbock County, TX 46 Alamance County, NC 50 Rowan County, NC 50