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Jefferson County, WI

RANK #311 / 1001 NAT  ·  #19 / 29 WI  ·  POP 86,003

1YR FORECAST: +2.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +31%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Jefferson County at +2.7% over the next year.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

Jefferson County, Wisconsin, offers a blend of agricultural heritage and natural beauty, situated between Madison and Milwaukee. Fort Atkinson, a notable town, is recognized for its dairy farming history, with institutions like Hoard's Dairyman Farm reflecting this legacy. The county's landscape, shaped by glaciers, features rolling hills and numerous waterways, including the Rock River, Crawfish River, and Bark River, providing opportunities for water recreation. Commuting is facilitated by proximity to I-94 and I-90, connecting residents to larger urban centers. The community maintains a rural feel, with abundant outdoor recreation options like biking and hiking trails, including the Glacial Drumlin State Trail, and 24 lakes and ponds for water activities.

Life in Jefferson County is characterized by a focus on community and access to outdoor activities. Public schools in the county generally perform at or above the state average in math and reading proficiency. The economy is significantly influenced by its agricultural roots, particularly dairy, grain, and egg production. Recent economic developments include investments in manufacturing and the establishment of a Food and Beverage Innovation Campus, aiming to attract new businesses and create jobs. These initiatives, alongside ongoing tourism growth, contribute to the county's economic picture, drawing in families and individuals seeking a balance of rural living with economic opportunities.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Jefferson County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +5.5% runs above the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+5.5%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.6

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 12.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Manufacturing Sector Manufacturing
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Healthcare & Social Assistance Sector Healthcare
  3. 3
    Retail Trade Sector Retail
  4. 4
    Trek Bicycle Manufacturing
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Walmart Retail
  6. 6
    Nestle Purina PetCare Manufacturing
    500+
  7. 7
    Watertown Regional Medical Center Inc. Healthcare
  8. 8
    Fort Atkinson Memorial Health Services Inc. Healthcare
  9. 9
    Generac Manufacturing
    250+
  10. 10
    Jefferson County Government Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
86,003
+0.16% YoY
Median Household Income
$83,750
Median Home Value
$274,100
+5.53% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,035
Average Annual Pay
$56,413
+4.1% YoY
Employment
33,418
-0.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3055
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.69%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$407,500
Days on Market
43
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.3
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.2%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
43.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
19.1%
Building Permits (2025)
420
Single-Family Permits
172

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Firearm Fatalities
7.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
90.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
40.7
Good
Good Air Days
83%
508 of 611 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
16
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
40
2022
38
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,015M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Kikkoman Foods New Manufacturing Facility
Kikkoman Foods, Inc.
$560M Under Construction
ClonBio Group Ethanol Plant Expansion
ClonBio Group
$500M Planned
Whitewater Solar Park
We Energies and Wisconsin Public Service (WPS)
$411M Proposed
Ixonia Liquefied Natural Gas Storage Facility
We Energies
$200M Operating
Nestlé Purina PetCare Plant Expansion
Nestlé Purina PetCare
$195M Completed
Badger State Solar Farm
Ranger Power
$149M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.2% 29 percentile
Income Growth +3.9% 77 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 78 percentile
Home Price Change +5.5% 89 percentile
Rent Growth +4.0% 68 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 15 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, WI a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 69/100, Jefferson County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $83,750 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in WI.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

Housing in Jefferson County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $274,100 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $1,035/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Jefferson County are both close to flat — population +0.2% YoY and jobs -0.6%. Home values shifted +5.5% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.69% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Jefferson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Jefferson County?

Home values climbed +5.5% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Jefferson County is now valued at $274,100. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Outagamie County, WI 69 La Crosse County, WI 70 Portage County, WI 72 Brown County, WI 72 Sauk County, WI 74 Kenosha County, WI 75 Kauai County, HI 69 Lewis and Clark County, MT 69