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Jefferson County, AL

Birmingham

RANK #801 / 996 NAT  ·  #24 / 27 AL  ·  POP 672,265

1YR FORECAST: +0.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +16%

Our model projects Jefferson County's housing market at +0.4% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

Jefferson County, Alabama, stands out for its blend of urban amenities and natural beauty, with Birmingham at its heart. The city is known for its pivotal role in the Civil Rights Movement, marked by sites like the 16th Street Baptist Church and Kelly Ingram Park. Beyond its historical significance, the county offers extensive outdoor recreation, including the Red Rock Trail System, which features over 160 miles of trails and greenways for hiking and biking across six major corridors. Commutes to downtown Birmingham average around 22 minutes, though most residents rely on private vehicles. Notable towns like Homewood, Vestavia Hills, and Mountain Brook are recognized for their schools and residential appeal.

Life in Jefferson County balances a relaxed pace with active community engagement. The area attracts families, young professionals, and retirees seeking affordability and a strong sense of community. The economy is driven by diverse sectors, including healthcare, with the University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB) serving as a major anchor for medical research and hospitals. Significant investment has also flowed into manufacturing, logistics, and technology, with new projects and expansions contributing to job growth across these industries.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
2.8x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+1.4%

Below national median

Home Prices
+0.1%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.5

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 2.8x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    UAB & UAB Hospital Healthcare
    25,000+
  2. 2
    Alabama Power Company Energy
    5,000+
  3. 3
    Regions Financial Corporation Finance
  4. 4
    Brookwood Baptist Health Healthcare
  5. 5
    Amazon Logistics
  6. 6
    Children's of Alabama Healthcare
    2,500+
  7. 7
    Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Alabama Finance
  8. 8
    Grandview Medical Center Healthcare
  9. 9
    American Cast Iron Pipe Co. (ACIPCO) Manufacturing
    1,000+
  10. 10
    Protective Life Corporation Finance

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
672,265
-0.04% YoY
Median Household Income
$63,595
Median Home Value
$208,900
+0.11% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,086
Average Annual Pay
$71,562
+3.4% YoY
Employment
367,081
+1.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3044
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.61%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
35.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$287,000
Days on Market
78
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.9
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.4%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
21.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
21.5%
Building Permits (2024)
2,117
Single-Family Permits
1,536

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
26.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
35.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
122.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
57.0
Moderate
Good Air Days
28%
305 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
27
Includes 2 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
56
2022
54
2023
61
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$16,610M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Project Marvel Data Center Campus
Logistic Land Investments LLC
$14,500M Permitted
J.M. Smucker Co. Manufacturing Facility
J.M. Smucker Co.
$1,100M Under Construction
Coca-Cola Bottling Company United Headquarters & Distribution Facility
Coca-Cola Bottling Company United
$330M Under Construction
Amazon Fulfillment Center
Amazon
$325M Operating
Wells Fargo Data Center Refresh
Wells Fargo
$205M Completed
Alabama Farm Center
Alabama Exhibition Center Corp.
$150M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.4% 24 percentile
Population Growth -0.0% 28 percentile
Income Growth +9.0% 64 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.7% 15 percentile
Home Price Change +0.1% 32 percentile
Rent Growth +1.1% 21 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 55 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, AL a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Jefferson County scores just 19/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #801 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.2% and median household income of $63,595 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

Housing in Jefferson County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $208,900 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $1,086/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Jefferson County are hiring — job growth of +1.2% — but the population is close to flat (-0.0% YoY). Home values moved +0.1% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.61% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Jefferson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Tuscaloosa County, AL 17 Baldwin County, AL 25 Limestone County, AL 28 Shelby County, AL 29 Jackson County, AL 8 Blount County, AL 31 Duval County, FL 19 Montgomery County, TX 20