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Ellis County, TX

RANK #690 / 996  ·  POP 195,509  ·  TX

PROJECTED GROWTH: +0.1%

Ellis County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Ellis County?

Ellis County, Texas, is often recognized for its historic charm, particularly the elaborate Richardsonian Romanesque architecture of the Ellis County Courthouse in Waxahachie, the county seat. Located in North Central Texas, approximately 30 miles south of Dallas, the county offers a blend of historic character and modern amenities. Commuting to Dallas is feasible, with an average one-way trip of around 29.3 minutes. The community maintains a relaxed pace, with rolling prairies and wildflowers contributing to its natural scenery. Outdoor recreation opportunities include Lake Waxahachie and Lake Bardwell for fishing and boating, alongside various parks and trails like the Waxahachie Creek Hike & Bike Trail.

Life in Ellis County appeals to families and professionals seeking a suburban lifestyle with access to urban amenities. The county's public schools are generally well-regarded, with districts like Midlothian, Palmer, and Waxahachie Independent School Districts noted for their quality. The economy is experiencing growth, driven by investments in sectors such as data centers and energy. This economic activity contributes to job creation and an increased demand for local services, supporting the county's expanding communities and infrastructure.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.5x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+7.2%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-1.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.5x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Ellis County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
195,509
+4.0% YoY
Median Household Income
$93,248
Median Home Value
$275,800
-1.64% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,345
Average Annual Pay
$57,911
+4.4% YoY
Employment
62,721
+3.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3381
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.73%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$425,000
Days on Market
101
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.5
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
11.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
30.1%
Building Permits (2024)
2,972
Single-Family Permits
2,854

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$45,655M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Google Data Center Expansion (Midlothian & Red Oak)
Google
$40,000M Under Construction
PowerHouse Data Centers & Provident Data Centers Hyperscale Campus (Grand Prairie)
PowerHouse Data Centers & Provident Data Centers
$1,800M Planned
Sharka Data Center Buildings 4 & 5 (Midlothian)
Sharka LLC
$1,230M Under Construction
Ellis County Solar & Battery Storage Portfolio
Lightsource bp, RWE, 174 Power Global Corp., Key Capture Energy, Apex Clean Energy, Undisclosed Developers
$1,150M Operating, Under Construction, Planned
Databank Red Oak Data Centers (DFW11, DFW12, DFW13)
Databank
$975M Under Construction
Compass Datacenters Red Oak Campus Phase 2
Compass Datacenters, LLC
$500M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +7.2% 94 percentile
Population Growth +4.0% 99 percentile
Income Growth +9.3% 70 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 64 percentile
Home Price Change -1.6% 17 percentile
Rent Growth +3.5% 60 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 61 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ellis County, TX a good place to move to?

Ellis County has a Boom Town Index score of 31/100, ranking #690 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +3.0% and a median household income of $93,248, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Ellis County affordable?

The median home value in Ellis County is $275,800 with median rent at $1,345/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.3381, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Ellis County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +4.0% year-over-year. Job growth: +3.0%. Home values changed -1.6% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Ellis County?

Yes — 4.73% of Ellis County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

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