8 / 100

Bastrop County, TX

RANK #918 / 996  ·  POP 98,435  ·  TX

PROJECTED GROWTH: -2.0%

Bastrop County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Bastrop County?

Bastrop County, Texas, is often recognized for its "Lost Pines," a unique forest of loblolly pines isolated from East Texas pine regions. Located about 30 miles southeast of Austin, the county offers a blend of rural charm and accessibility to city amenities. The Colorado River flows through the county, providing opportunities for kayaking, canoeing, and fishing. Bastrop State Park and McKinney Roughs Nature Park offer extensive trails for hiking, biking, and horseback riding, along with camping and water activities on Lake Bastrop. The area maintains a small-town feel, with historic communities like Bastrop, Elgin, and Smithville. Commute options to Austin are available via major highways like SH 71, and public transportation is provided by CARTS, including on-demand services.

Life in Bastrop County appeals to families, retirees, and remote workers seeking a quieter lifestyle with access to nature. The economy is experiencing growth driven by investments in various sectors. Advanced manufacturing and technology are expanding, with new facilities and corporate relocations contributing to job creation. Infrastructure improvements, including broadband expansion, support both existing businesses and emerging industries. The county is also seeing development in commercial and residential spaces, as well as the film and energy sectors. Bastrop County Independent School District, Elgin Independent School District, McDade Independent School District, and Smithville Independent School District serve the area's students.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.9x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+3.8%

Above national median

Home Prices
-3.8%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.9

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 6.9x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Bastrop County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
98,435
+3.74% YoY
Median Household Income
$80,151
Median Home Value
$235,900
-3.84% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,195
Average Annual Pay
$54,112
+6.5% YoY
Employment
22,593
+4.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3398
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.65%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$335,000
Days on Market
151
Slower market
Months of Supply
8.4
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
9.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.7%
Building Permits (2024)
1,841
Single-Family Permits
1,419

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$2,668M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
EdgeConneX Data Center Campus
EdgeConneX
$1,440M Under Construction
Sendero Mixed-Use Development
$300M Under Construction
Big Star Solar and Battery Storage Project
RWE
$280M Operating
SpaceX/Starlink Expansion
SpaceX/Starlink
$280M Under Construction
Bastrop County Judicial Complex & Jail Expansion
Bastrop County
$186M Planned
SH-71 Overpass and Frontage Roads
TxDOT
$183M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.8% 70 percentile
Population Growth +3.7% 98 percentile
Income Growth +2.3% 1 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.4% 96 percentile
Home Price Change -3.8% 6 percentile
Rent Growth +0.8% 17 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 84 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Bastrop County, TX a good place to move to?

Bastrop County has a Boom Town Index score of 8/100, ranking #918 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +4.6% and a median household income of $80,151, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Bastrop County affordable?

The median home value in Bastrop County is $235,900 with median rent at $1,195/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.3398, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Bastrop County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +3.7% year-over-year. Job growth: +4.6%. Home values changed -3.8% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Bastrop County?

Yes — 5.65% of Bastrop County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Escambia County, FL 18 Monterey County, CA 18 Arlington County, VA 18 Clallam County, WA 18 Mohave County, AZ 18 Cherokee County, GA 18 Baltimore city, MD 18 Henderson County, NC 18