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Victoria County, TX

RANK #766 / 996  ·  POP 91,209  ·  TX

PROJECTED GROWTH: -0.3%

Victoria County ranks in the bottom tier of U.S. counties on economic momentum.

[01] Why Victoria County?

Victoria County, Texas, known as the "Cradle of the Texas Cattle Industry," offers a blend of historical depth and natural beauty. Located on the Coastal Plain in southeastern Texas, Victoria, the county seat, is approximately 120 miles from Houston, 102 miles from San Antonio, and 75 miles from Corpus Christi, earning it the nickname "crossroads of South Texas." The Guadalupe River, a central feature, provides opportunities for fishing, kayaking, and boating. The county's landscape includes coastal prairie, oak forests, and diverse vegetation, with Riverside Park offering 562 acres of woodlands, trails, and picnic areas. Life in Victoria County is characterized by a community-focused atmosphere and access to outdoor activities. Victoria Independent School District serves a large portion of the county's students, alongside other districts like Bloomington ISD and Nursery ISD. The local economy is driven by sectors such as manufacturing, with ongoing efforts to support small businesses and attract new development. Recent projects include investments in mental and behavioral health facilities and upgrades to the regional airport, enhancing local amenities and connectivity.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
3.3x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+1.8%

Below national median

Home Prices
-2.2%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-0.8

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing looks undervalued at 3.3x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Victoria County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
91,209
-0.08% YoY
Median Household Income
$66,308
Median Home Value
$181,200
-2.21% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,084
Average Annual Pay
$55,837
+1.0% YoY
Employment
37,113
-0.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3659
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.26%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$244,500
Days on Market
80
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.4
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
7.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.6%
Building Permits (2024)
43
Single-Family Permits
33

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$2,459M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Crusoe Victoria Data Center & Blue Energy Nuclear Plant
Crusoe, Blue Energy
$1,500M Planned
Crossroads Wind Project
Undisclosed
$277M Planned
First Ammonia Green Ammonia Production Facility
First Ammonia
$275M Proposed
Oriana Solar Project
Sabanci Renewables, Advanced Power (previous owner)
$232M Under Construction
Green Energy Origin (GEO) Battery Materials Manufacturing Facility
Green Energy Origin (GEO)
$150M Under Construction
Victoria Village Shopping Center
Victoria Exchange Development, Sundance Construction
$25M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +1.8% 30 percentile
Population Growth -0.1% 26 percentile
Income Growth +9.4% 71 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.3% 5 percentile
Home Price Change -2.2% 13 percentile
Rent Growth +1.6% 28 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 57 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Victoria County, TX a good place to move to?

Victoria County has a Boom Town Index score of 23/100, ranking #766 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at -0.9% and a median household income of $66,308, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Victoria County affordable?

The median home value in Victoria County is $181,200 with median rent at $1,084/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.3659, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Victoria County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: -0.1% year-over-year. Job growth: -0.9%. Home values changed -2.2% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Victoria County?

Yes — 4.26% of Victoria County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Tooele County, UT 33 Polk County, TX 33 Middlesex County, MA 33 Lexington County, SC 33 Angelina County, TX 33 Brazos County, TX 33 Benton County, WA 33 Tulare County, CA 33