19 / 100

Strafford County, NH

Dover

RANK #799 / 996 NAT  ·  POP 130,965

1YR FORECAST: +1.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +16%

Our model projects Strafford County's housing market at +1.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Strafford County?

Durham, home to the University of New Hampshire, stands out as a notable town within Strafford County. The county, located in southeastern New Hampshire, borders Maine and is about an hour's drive from Boston, Massachusetts. Its landscape features lowlands, rivers like the Cocheco and Lamprey, and access to Little and Great Bays, offering opportunities for outdoor recreation such as hiking, boating, and wildlife viewing. The community feel varies, with some towns like Strafford offering a quiet, rural atmosphere. Commuting within the county and to nearby cities is common, with resources like TripLink providing transportation information and services.

Life in Strafford County blends natural beauty with community amenities. Many residents own their homes, and the area attracts young professionals. The economy is influenced by education and healthcare, with the University of New Hampshire in Durham being a significant institution. Efforts are underway to address housing availability and affordability, and regional planning focuses on economic growth and infrastructure improvements. The Strafford Economic Development Corporation works to support local businesses through financing and technical assistance.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.1x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
-2.2%

Contracting economy

Home Prices
+3.2%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 6.1x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    County of Strafford Government
    500+
  2. 2
    Frisbie Memorial Hospital Healthcare
  3. 3
    Community Partners-BH Healthcare
  4. 4
    Albany International Corp Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Lowe's Home Improvement Retail
  6. 6
    Riverside Rest Home Healthcare
    250+
  7. 7
    Dover Municipal Building Government
  8. 8
    Walmart Supercenter (Somersworth) Retail
  9. 9
    Target (Somersworth) Retail
  10. 10
    Market Basket (Rochester) Retail

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Strafford County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
130,965
+0.28% YoY
Median Household Income
$83,212
Median Home Value
$300,200
+3.17% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,308
Average Annual Pay
$64,687
-1.0% YoY
Employment
46,517
-1.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2772
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.25%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
38.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$469,933
Days on Market
44
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.4
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.9%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
41.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
10.8%
Building Permits (2024)
942
Single-Family Permits
327

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
94.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$100M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Community Solar Portfolio (multiple projects)
Various
$50M Planned
Residential New Construction (multiple developments)
Various Home Builders
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth -2.2% 2 percentile
Population Growth +0.3% 42 percentile
Income Growth +8.7% 55 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 46 percentile
Home Price Change +3.2% 74 percentile
Rent Growth +3.0% 49 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 68 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Strafford County, NH a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Strafford County scores just 19/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #799 of 996 counties. Job growth at -1.4% and median household income of $83,212 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Strafford County affordable?

Housing in Strafford County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $300,200 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.28, with rents averaging $1,308/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Strafford County growing or shrinking?

Strafford County's job market is contracting (-1.4% YoY) while population is roughly stable (+0.3% change). Home values are +3.2% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.

Are people moving to Strafford County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.25% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Strafford County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Rockingham County, NH 15 Merrimack County, NH 36 Grafton County, NH 36 Hillsborough County, NH 42 Cheshire County, NH 53 Carroll County, NH 56 Roanoke County, VA 19 Sussex County, NJ 18