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Jefferson County, TN

RANK #418 / 996  ·  POP 55,017  ·  TN

PROJECTED GROWTH: +1.0%

Jefferson County sits in the middle of the pack — stable but not accelerating.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

Dandridge, the second oldest town in Tennessee, anchors Jefferson County with its historic charm and lakeside setting on Douglas Lake. Located in East Tennessee, the county is a short drive from Knoxville, with commutes averaging around 29 minutes for residents. The community offers a blend of small-town living and access to larger city amenities. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with Douglas and Cherokee Lakes providing opportunities for boating, fishing, and other water sports, complemented by mountain views and nearby access to the Great Smoky Mountains National Park.

Life in Jefferson County is characterized by a small-town atmosphere and a focus on community. The public school system is recognized for high graduation rates and academic programs, with institutions like Carson-Newman University also present in the county. The economy has seen growth, particularly in manufacturing and distribution, with existing businesses expanding and new industries establishing a presence. This economic activity contributes to the area's infrastructure and job market, appealing to families and individuals seeking a balance of natural beauty and economic opportunity.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.4x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+6.1%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+0.7%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.4x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
55,017
+1.21% YoY
Median Household Income
$60,393
Median Home Value
$183,800
+0.73% 12mo
Median Rent
$832
Average Annual Pay
$55,672
+5.8% YoY
Employment
14,061
+1.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3286
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.82%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$385,000
Days on Market
96
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.4
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
13.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.2%
Building Permits (2024)
254
Single-Family Permits
244

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$660M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Dumplin Valley Energy Storage Project
Plus Power
$500M Proposed
Bush Brothers & Company Process Water Filtration Plant
Bush Brothers & Company
$60M Completed
Oshkosh Corporation Manufacturing Facility
Oshkosh Corporation
$50M Operating
English Mountain Spring Water Expansion
English Mountain Spring Water
$50M Completed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +6.1% 91 percentile
Population Growth +1.2% 77 percentile
Income Growth +11.1% 91 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 59 percentile
Home Price Change +0.7% 41 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 13 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, TN a good place to move to?

Jefferson County has a Boom Town Index score of 58/100, ranking #418 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at +1.2% and a median household income of $60,393, it's an above-average county on economic indicators.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

The median home value in Jefferson County is $183,800 with median rent at $832/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.3286, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +1.2% year-over-year. Job growth: +1.2%. Home values changed +0.7% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

Yes — 3.82% of Jefferson County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Ottawa County, MI 68 Florence County, SC 68 Colbert County, AL 68 Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK 68 Ouachita Parish, LA 68 Stearns County, MN 68 Jackson County, MS 68 Midland County, TX 68