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Jefferson County, AR

RANK #751 / 996  ·  POP 66,934  ·  AR

PROJECTED GROWTH: -0.2%

Jefferson County is losing people and economic momentum. This metro faces significant structural headwinds.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

The Arkansas River, a central feature of Jefferson County, has shaped its history and continues to offer recreational opportunities. Pine Bluff, the county seat, is about 42 miles south of Little Rock, with Interstate 530 connecting the two cities, making for a commute under an hour. The county's landscape transitions from pine-covered hills in the west to fertile Delta farmland in the east. This natural setting provides extensive outdoor recreation, including hunting, fishing, biking, and hiking, with facilities like the Delta Rivers Nature Center and Jefferson County Regional Park.

Life in Jefferson County is characterized by a mix of community sizes, from the larger city of Pine Bluff to smaller towns like White Hall and Redfield. The local economy is diversifying, with significant activity in agricultural product processing and manufacturing. Educational institutions, including the University of Arkansas at Pine Bluff, contribute to the workforce. Recent developments include investments in energy production and ongoing projects aimed at enhancing local amenities and infrastructure.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
2.6x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
-4.4%

Contracting economy

Home Prices
-2.3%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-1.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 2.6x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
66,934
-1.85% YoY
Median Household Income
$46,855
Median Home Value
$105,300
-2.32% 12mo
Median Rent
$820
Average Annual Pay
$51,569
+2.0% YoY
Employment
25,233
-2.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.445
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.71%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$165,000
Days on Market
91
Slower market
Months of Supply
7.4
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.2%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
12.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.8%
Building Permits (2024)
63
Single-Family Permits
53

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$5,700M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Gas-to-Liquids (GTL) Facility
GTL Americas (Energy Security Partners, Hanwha Petrochemicals, Arkansas Teachers Retirement Fund)
$3,500M Proposed
Jefferson Power Station
Entergy Arkansas
$1,600M Planned
Arkansas Cypress Solar and Battery
Entergy Arkansas (partnering with Google)
$600M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth -4.4% 1 percentile
Population Growth -1.9% 1 percentile
Income Growth +7.2% 19 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 33 percentile
Home Price Change -2.3% 13 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 84 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, AR a good place to move to?

Jefferson County has a Boom Town Index score of 25/100, ranking #751 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at -2.4% and a median household income of $46,855, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

The median home value in Jefferson County is $105,300 with median rent at $820/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.445, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: -1.9% year-over-year. Job growth: -2.4%. Home values changed -2.3% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

Yes — 3.71% of Jefferson County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Haywood County, NC 35 La Plata County, CO 35 Kent County, DE 35 St. Martin Parish, LA 35 Oklahoma County, OK 35 Alamance County, NC 35 Gaston County, NC 35 Moore County, NC 35