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Stafford County, VA

RANK #527 / 996  ·  POP 157,606  ·  VA

PROJECTED GROWTH: +0.6%

Stafford County shows below-average economic momentum. Growth signals are flat or softening.

[01] Why Stafford County?

Government Island, a 17-acre park in Stafford County, holds a unique place in American history as the quarry that supplied Aquia sandstone for iconic Washington D.C. buildings like the White House and the U.S. Capitol. Located approximately 40 miles south of Washington D.C., Stafford County blends suburban and rural characteristics. Commute options to Washington D.C. and Northern Virginia include the Virginia Railway Express (VRE) and OmniRide bus service, with park-and-ride lots available. The county also offers extensive outdoor recreation, with parks like Widewater State Park providing access to the Potomac and Rappahannock Rivers for boating, fishing, and hiking.

Life in Stafford County often appeals to families and professionals, many of whom commute to federal and defense facilities. Stafford County Public Schools serve over 32,000 students across 33 schools, all of which are accredited. The local economy is influenced by its proximity to Marine Corps Base Quantico and a growing focus on warehousing, logistics, and government contracting. Recent economic development efforts also include broad investments in technology and infrastructure.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
-0.2%

Contracting economy

Home Prices
+1.2%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Signal Profile

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Stafford County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
157,606
+2.21% YoY
Median Household Income
$128,036
Median Home Value
$431,900
+1.21% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,828
Average Annual Pay
$68,734
+4.3% YoY
Employment
46,071
-1.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2964
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
6.04%
of pop. from another state

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$511,000
Days on Market
54
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
31.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
12.4%
Building Permits (2024)
361
Single-Family Permits
361

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Capital Investment

$19,400M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Stafford Technology Center (Data Center Complex)
The Garrett Companies
$7,900M Approved
GWV Data Center
The Garrett Companies
$7,900M Proposed
Vantage Data Centers VA4 Campus
Vantage Data Centers
$2,000M Under Construction
FY2026-35 Capital Improvement Program (Transportation & Schools)
Stafford County
$1,450M Planned
Amazon Cross-Dock Fulfillment Center
Amazon
$100M Operating
Enon Road Community Solar Preserve
ESA Solar
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[06] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth -0.2% 7 percentile
Population Growth +2.2% 90 percentile
Income Growth +6.9% 16 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 51 percentile
Home Price Change +1.2% 49 percentile
Rent Growth +0.5% 14 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 24 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[07] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Stafford County, VA a good place to move to?

Stafford County has a Boom Town Index score of 47/100, ranking #527 among 996 U.S. counties. With job growth at -1.9% and a median household income of $128,036, it faces some economic headwinds compared to faster-growing counties.

Is Stafford County affordable?

The median home value in Stafford County is $431,900 with median rent at $1,828/month. The income-to-home-value ratio is 0.2964, which is more affordable than the national average.

Is Stafford County growing or shrinking?

Population growth: +2.2% year-over-year. Job growth: -1.9%. Home values changed +1.2% in the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Stafford County?

Yes — 6.04% of Stafford County's population moved from another state, which is above the national average and indicates strong in-migration.

[08] Similar Metros

Lee County, NC 57 Raleigh County, WV 57 St. Croix County, WI 57 Penobscot County, ME 57 Tulsa County, OK 57 Muscogee County, GA 57 Potter County, TX 57 Somerset County, PA 57