80 / 100

Burleigh County, ND

RANK #198 / 1001 NAT  ·  POP 100,600

1YR FORECAST: +3.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +33%

Our model projects Burleigh County's housing market to grow +3.0% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Burleigh County?

Burleigh County, North Dakota, is defined by its seat, Bismarck, the state capital, which stands along the Missouri River. Bismarck is notable for its Art Deco State Capitol building, the tallest in North Dakota, and for having its major shopping center, Kirkwood Mall, located downtown rather than in the suburbs. The county, situated in the temperate grasslands of the Great Plains, offers a blend of urban amenities and rural landscapes. Outdoor recreation is accessible, with opportunities for hiking, boating, and fishing along the Missouri River and in parks like McDowell Dam Recreation Area and General Sibley Park. Life in Burleigh County offers a community feel, with many families and young professionals residing there. Public schools in the county are generally above average. The economy is supported by sectors such as energy, agriculture, healthcare, and education. Recent economic developments include significant investment in data centers, contributing to the region's growth. The county's population has seen a historic increase, and while housing construction has responded, challenges in affordability persist for some residents.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Burleigh County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +5.5% YoY, population +1.6%, wages +3.7%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+5.5%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 8.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    MDU Resources Energy
    10,000+
  2. 2
    State of North Dakota Government
  3. 3
    Sanford Health Healthcare
    5,000+
  4. 4
    Cloverdale Foods Manufacturing
    250+
  5. 5
    University of Mary Education
  6. 6
    Burleigh County Government
  7. 7
    Bismarck Public Schools Education
  8. 8
    CHI St. Alexius Medical Center Healthcare
  9. 9
    City of Bismarck Government
  10. 10
    NISC Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Burleigh County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
100,600
+1.63% YoY
Median Household Income
$86,851
Median Home Value
$324,000
+5.5% 12mo
Median Rent
$998
Average Annual Pay
$65,824
+3.7% YoY
Employment
58,393
+0.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2681
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.78%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
39.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$379,900
Days on Market
17
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
2.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
7.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.9%
Building Permits (2025)
303
Single-Family Permits
261

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
10.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
61.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
39.7
Good
Good Air Days
68%
750 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
39
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
38
2022
39
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$650M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Aurum Bismarck Campus (AI Data Center)
Aurum Capital Ventures
$500M Proposed
Wilton IV Wind Energy Center
NextEra Energy Resources
$50M Planned
Baldwin Wind Energy Center
Baldwin Wind, LLC
$50M Planned
Burleigh County Road and Bridge System Improvements
Burleigh County Highway Department
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.6% 82 percentile
Income Growth +2.2% 36 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 37 percentile
Home Price Change +5.5% 89 percentile
Rent Growth +7.9% 94 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 15 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Burleigh County, ND a good place to move to?

Burleigh County ranks #198 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 80/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +0.6% and a median household income of $86,851 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Burleigh County affordable?

Housing in Burleigh County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $324,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $998/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Burleigh County growing or shrinking?

Burleigh County's population is growing — up +1.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.6%). Home values shifted +5.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Burleigh County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.78% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Burleigh County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Burleigh County?

Home values climbed +5.5% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Burleigh County is now valued at $324,000. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Ward County, ND 71 Grand Forks County, ND 66 Cass County, ND 11 Sutter County, CA 80 Terrebonne Parish, LA 80 Craighead County, AR 80 Manitowoc County, WI 80 Williamson County, IL 80